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To reverse a years of deteriorating overall element efficiency, local labour market policy is shifting from simple job production to handling active labor force transitions. Governments and employers are scaling short, modular training programs and micro-credentials in data analytics and digital operations to gear up employees for emerging roles. Workplace-based learning and apprenticeship-style paths are becoming more typical as companies integrate AI tools into daily workflows.
With oil rates anticipated to average $55-60 per barrel in 2026, local federal governments are magnifying their focus on expenditure discipline and personal capital mobilisation. Fiscal policy is pivoting towards the monetisation of state-owned assets in logistics, energies, and desalination to reroute funds toward higher-impact financial investments. While loaning by means of sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is anticipated to increase to fund tactical deficits, the focus remains on enhancing non-oil revenue frameworks.
PwC Middle East economic policy and technique partner Jing Teow said: "Having already mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC federal governments are now focused on shipment. In 2026, the concern is strengthening economic resilience through more secure trade and financial investment relationships, reliable AI implementation, managed labor force transitions and disciplined financial policy in a more challenging and fragmented international environment.".
Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf area's economic expansion in 2026, supported by strong private-sector performance, resilient domestic need and renewed investment momentum, according to the most recent ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is expected to outperform most international areas peers next year, with local GDP projection to grow by 4.4%. Across the GCC, non-energy activity is projected to broaden by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, enhancing credit conditions and increasing investment in technology and AI-related facilities.
Oil profits will be under pressure in the very first half of 2026, production is expected to increase again in the 2nd half of 2026, supporting the region's medium-term outlook, it mentioned. Saudi Arabia will stay a significant contributor to GCC momentum, with GDP projection to grow 4.3% in 2026.
Growth will be supported by industrial expansion and policy reforms, consisting of relieved foreign ownership rules that intend to promote additional financial investment. The fiscal deficit is projected to broaden to 5.6% of GDP next year amid softer oil rates, while the recent five-year lease freeze in Riyadh aims to reduce inflationary pressures, though it may constrain future housing supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is also positioned for another strong year of performance, with GDP projection to increase 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to broaden. Tourism, trade and monetary services stay key growth drivers, supported by population growth and sustained domestic need. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the first half of 2025, showing broad-based non-oil strength.
Oil production is anticipated to choose up again in the second half of 2026, complementing continuous investment in facilities, technology and global trade partnerships. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, said: "This quarter's outlook strengthens how far the GCC has can be found in structure varied, durable and worldwide competitive economies.
Scott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Advisor, and Chief Economist and Handling Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, stated: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are getting in 2026 with strong structures. Saudi non-oil activity is getting speed, supported by robust need and increasing financial investment, even as fiscal pressures increase.""The UAE continues to benefit from strong domestic fundamentals, a sharp uplift in federal government spending and continual diversity efforts.
The Hidden Opportunities in Saudi Arabia's Emerging CentersWhat differentiates 2026 from preceding years is not just the velocity of technological modification, though that velocity is genuine, but rather a fundamental shift in how enterprises develop of their GCCs' purpose. The is expected to grow to 4 hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, however this growth masks a more extensive transformation.
Instead, they ask whether these centers drive innovation, own profit-and-loss responsibility, and contribute to competitive distinction. In 2026, the most successful GCCs will behave like internal start-ups, agile, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply lined up with worldwide organization outcomes. This shift from execution to ownership represents maybe the single most substantial tactical recalibration in the GCC design's development.
This week, we're convening more than 3000 conferences in between financiers and 119 Gulf-listed business with a combined worth of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're combining financiers, business, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is changing in the region, and what comes next, consisting of the growth and ongoing development of the Gulf's capital markets, and the region's growing role in international networks of capital and trade.
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