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To reverse a years of compromising total aspect productivity, local labour market policy is shifting from basic job production to managing active labor force transitions. Federal governments and companies are scaling short, modular training programs and micro-credentials in data analytics and digital operations to equip employees for emerging functions. Workplace-based learning and apprenticeship-style pathways are becoming more typical as firms integrate AI tools into daily workflows.
With oil costs anticipated to typical $55-60 per barrel in 2026, regional federal governments are heightening their concentrate on expense discipline and private capital mobilisation. Fiscal policy is pivoting toward the monetisation of state-owned properties in logistics, energies, and desalination to reroute funds towards higher-impact investments. While borrowing via sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is anticipated to increase to money tactical deficits, the focus stays on enhancing non-oil earnings structures.
PwC Middle East financial policy and technique partner Jing Teow stated: "Having currently mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC governments are now focused on shipment. In 2026, the priority is enhancing economic durability through more secure trade and investment relationships, efficient AI release, handled workforce transitions and disciplined fiscal policy in a more tough and fragmented worldwide environment.".
Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf area's economic expansion in 2026, supported by strong private-sector performance, resistant domestic need and renewed investment momentum, according to the current ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is expected to exceed most global areas peers next year, with local GDP projection to grow by 4.4%. Throughout the GCC, non-energy activity is projected to expand by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, improving credit conditions and rising financial investment in technology and AI-related facilities.
Although oil incomes will be under pressure in the first half of 2026, production is expected to rise again in the second half of 2026, supporting the area's medium-term outlook, it specified. Saudi Arabia will stay a major contributor to GCC momentum, with GDP forecast to grow 4.3% in 2026.
Growth will be supported by commercial growth and policy reforms, including alleviated foreign ownership guidelines that aim to stimulate more investment. The fiscal deficit is predicted to widen to 5.6% of GDP next year amidst softer oil rates, while the current five-year lease freeze in Riyadh intends to ease inflationary pressures, though it may constrain future housing supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is likewise positioned for another strong year of performance, with GDP forecast to increase 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to broaden. Tourism, trade and financial services remain crucial growth chauffeurs, supported by population growth and sustained domestic need. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the first half of 2025, showing broad-based non-oil strength.
Oil production is expected to get once again in the second half of 2026, matching ongoing financial investment in infrastructure, innovation and worldwide trade collaborations. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, said: "This quarter's outlook strengthens how far the GCC has been available in building varied, resilient and internationally competitive economies.
Scott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Consultant, and Chief Financial Expert and Managing Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, stated: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are entering 2026 with strong foundations. Saudi non-oil activity is acquiring pace, supported by robust demand and increasing investment, even as fiscal pressures increase.""The UAE continues to take advantage of solid domestic principles, a sharp uplift in government costs and continual diversity efforts.
What distinguishes 2026 from preceding years is not merely the velocity of technological modification, though that velocity is real, but rather a fundamental shift in how business develop of their GCCs' function. The is expected to grow to four hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, but this growth masks a more extensive transformation.
Rather, they ask whether these centers drive development, own profit-and-loss obligation, and add to competitive differentiation. In 2026, the most successful GCCs will behave like internal startups, agile, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply lined up with international company results. This shift from execution to ownership represents possibly the single most substantial tactical recalibration in the GCC model's development.
This week, we're assembling more than 3000 meetings between investors and 119 Gulf-listed business with a combined value of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're bringing together investors, business, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is changing in the region, and what follows, consisting of the growth and continuous advancement of the Gulf's capital markets, and the area's growing role in global networks of capital and trade.
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